12.2.10

More on Iran Laughable Bluffing

In a previous note I wrote that Iran's nuclear bravado is getting laughable.
By the time I wrote the note Iran was waving with its capacity to enrich uranium to the purity level of %20.
Now it is getting funnier!!
Speaking before a crowd of supporters in Tehran's Azadi Square, Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad announced yesterday, on the 31st anniversary of the Islamic Revolution in Iran, that his nation had already enriched some of its uranium to 20% uranium, a significant step towards developing a nuclear weapon.
He even went as far as saying Iran has the capacity "to enrich uranium more than 80 percent", slightly below the 90 percent-plus level needed for a weapon.
In fact, there is something of the boy who cried wolf about Ahmadinejad's statements.
Bernard Kouchner told Europe 1 radio that the "Americans don't believe, not any more than us, that Iran is currently capable of enriching uranium to 80 percent."
White House spokesman Robert Gibbs said that Iran's leadership has made a series of statements about its nuclear prowess based on politics, not physics.
Hours before Ahmadinejad's speech the Washington Post reported that "Iran is experiencing surprising setbacks in its efforts to enrich uranium" including "equipment failures and other difficulties" which could undermine Tehran's plans to dramatically scale up its nuclear program.
The Washington Post wrote the following:


U.N. reports over the last year have shown a drop in production at Iran's main uranium enrichment plant, near the city of Natanz. Now a new assessment, based on three years of internal data from U.N. nuclear inspections, suggests that Iran's mechanical woes are deeper than previously known. At least through the end of 2009, the Natanz plant appears to have performed so poorly that sabotage cannot be ruled out as an explanation, according to a draft study by David Albright, president of the Institute for Science and International Security (ISIS). A copy of the report was provided to The Washington Post.
The ISIS study showed that more than half of the Natanz plant's 8,700 uranium-enriching machines, called centrifuges, were idle at the end of last year and that the number of working machines had steadily dropped -- from 5,000 in May to just over 3,900 in November. Moreover, output from the nominally functioning machines was about half of what was expected, said the report, drawing from data gathered by the International Atomic Energy Agency, the U.N. nuclear watchdog. A separate, forthcoming analysis by the Federation of American Scientists also describes Iran's flagging performance and suggests that continued failures may increase Iran's appetite for a deal with the West. Ivan Oelrich, vice president of the federation's Strategic Security Program, said Iranian leaders appear to have raced into large-scale uranium production for political reasons.

No comments:

Post a Comment